Thirteen things to worry about in 2000

Julia Vowler provides a run down of the National Computing Centre's predictions of what will be the key concerns for IT directors...

Julia Vowler provides a run down of the National Computing Centre's predictions of what will be the key concerns for IT directors in 2000

Every year the National Computing Centre publishes its list of 13 things that will be haunting IT directors over the coming year. Here is what the NCCexperts predict for 2000.

  • Wireless and mobile. Start thinking about mobile wireless computing and plan your wireless local area network, but keep your existing desktops. Put your money on GPRS (General Packet Radio Services) on GSM, offering IP data communications at 114kbps
  • Internet and international law. The legal minefield - from tax to censorship - deepens. Can governments resolve the issues and their interests? Not soon, but they are trying. A European Commission e-commerce directive is in draft
  • Enterprise resource planning componentisation. The monoliths are breaking down and spreading out into customer relationship and supply chain management as suppliers add functionality to drive revenue growth
  • Storage meets fibre. The storage area network becomes the norm, driven by data warehousing and the Internet, with EMC's Fibre Alliance plugging for a standard
  • More telecommunications liberalisation. This will cause more high-value services and more confusion
  • E-business. Secure transactions will make it real. Less buzz, more build
  • IT careers. We are all business strategists now
  • Total outsourcing. Staff-light Internet companies point the way to the redundant IT department. In-house is out of here
  • IT integration (difficulty in achieving). It is what mergers and acquisitions will stub their toes on more and more
  • Rewritable DVD (digital versatile disc). A format free-for-all might hinder take-up, restricting DVD to mindless music rather than high-density, fast, portable, resilient data storage
  • Terabit Ethernet. It will come. Put in a diary date for 2002 or 2003. But Ethernet remains a "magic brand" - it is cheap and backwards compatible, and the gigabit standard is nearly here for broadband
  • Digital library. As Internet usage overwhelms conventional databases, the digital library will fight back with content creation, capture, storage, management, searching, access and distribution. Combining document imaging and management groupware and the Internet, it will be unfazed by formats and deliver on demand
  • Microsoft's hard times. How will the anti-trust chisel carve up Microsoft? It is spoilt for choice - but any baby Bills could still prove formidable players. Standard Oil's dismembered body became Exxon, Mobil and Gulf. Be warned.
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