
Face facts; business is bad. For most businesses, the
sustained growth seen in the past 15 years is history.
Commentators are running out of doomsday comparisons for the
current economic situation. Even the usually measured Mervyn King,
the governor of the Bank of England, has now said we are
in a
"deep recession", while Ed Balls, the schools secretary, has
described it as "the
most
serious global recession" in 100 years.
Faced with contracting markets and falling revenue, businesses
are bound to look at the spending on their books and closely
scrutinise anything not directly contributing to the top line.
Lowering IT
spending
Although IT is often in the line of fire when it comes to budget
cuts, because of the recent history of the technology cycle, there
is less danger of
reducing IT budgets in a
knee-jerk reaction, according to Mark
Raskino, Gartner vice-president and fellow.
"One of the things we have found with our CIO and chief
executive survey is that
IT spending is flat and relatively protected. Yes, we are in a
deep recession, but there are lots of issues in business, and IT is
a relatively small one at the moment," he says.
For example, Raskino says he worked with one large company which
spends less than 0.5% of its revenue on IT. "There is not much
urgency to reduce that. It is not in the target zone for spending
cuts."
Although IT spending has been fairly flat since the dotcom boom
and bust, and IT departments have become more aware of
return on investment, there will eventually be
pressure to keep IT spending down, according to Ben Booth,
global CTO of market research firm Ipsos, known as Ipsos-Mori in
the UK.
| How to reduce your IT
costs |
|---|
Put off hardware upgrades: you can get more
power from your kit using virtualisation software |
| Bring forward the asset management cycle: make
sure you are not paying for hardware and software that you do not
need |
| Renegotiate telecommunications and web hosting
deals: suppliers will be keen to keep your business on
their books |
"There is a great deal of pressure on IT spending. Even
businesses that will carry on activity, even at a higher rate, will
need to take costs out," he says.
IT suppliers agree. Global purchases of IT goods and services
will decline by 3% to $1.66 trillion in 2009, after an 8% rise in
2008, says analyst house Forrester.
Meanwhile, IT departments will be expected to provide the
business with the same level of service, he says.
Cost-cutting potential
Fortunately, there are many ways to reduce spending, Raskino
says. "Very few IT departments are so lean that they have done
everything that is worth doing to save money. Some things need to
be done every two years, so it is worth doing them again."
It could also be easier to save money from the IT budget because
the
department's relationship with business managers will change
during the recession, Raskino says.
"In a boom time, control moves to the business. They want a
particular package from a certain supplier so you end up with a
proliferation of services, packages and mobile phones, and there is
a loss of control of many things because the business asserts its
rights. But in a downturn, the CIO is likely to report directly to
finance and has more direct control of purchasing decisions."
Get a better deal
Because IT departments were left lean and efficient after the
dotcom crash, they have to be clever in how they reduce their
spending, Booth says. "There will be an expansion in contract
negotiations to get better deals. Telecommunications and hosting
company deals will be pushed very hard."
Raskino agrees that some savings can be made now. These include
asset management and telecoms contract negotiation because pricing
models change rapidly. "When you look at them again, you can find
more money there," he says.
Booth says there will also be a freeze on capital spending, such
as hardware replacement. "IT will defer investment which can be
sensibly pushed back, such as PC replacement and other routine
stuff. So if the IT department replaces equipment, it needs to
focus investment on what is going to be really valuable to the
business."
Booth, who is also vice-president of the
British Computer Society's Elite Group of IT directors, says
that despite end-users' desire for the best hardware, there should
not be many complaints over making do without the new kit.
"In the current circumstances, people know that they have no pay
rise and are worried about keeping their jobs. If they are daft
enough to worry about getting the latest PC, their days are
numbered anyway. Most people are realistic enough to realise that
they would make fools of themselves if they take that attitude," he
says.
Cut software costs
Increasing investment in
virtualisation software can help organisations get more from
older equipment, says Clive Longbottom, service director with IT
analyst firm Quocirca. "With that you can bring up utilisation of
hardware from about 10% to maybe 50%. That is a good start."
However, the toughest cost to get out of the IT budget will be
staple software licence deals.
"There will be tough conversations on licences and suppliers
will not move until you are screaming at them," says Raskino.
Software suppliers will be desperate to maintain their revenue
streams as customers go bankrupt or delay expansion and software
upgrade projects, he says. "It is not going to be easy to
renegotiate contracts that you are already in."
Fortune 500 companies will be able to use their long-term
relationships to negotiate with suppliers. These companies can
offer something in return for lower licence fees, such as accepting
lower service levels, so the supplier also saves money, Raskino
says.
Smaller firms will find it much more difficult to negotiate with
large suppliers, he says. One approach could be to go for an
upgrade, or a new licensing model, and see if the supplier's
finance department can structure a new deal that can benefit the
user-firm in the short term, he says.
Licensing
deals
Ian Campbell, CIO of British Energy and chairman of the
Corporate IT Forum (Tif) of FTSE 100 IT directors, agrees software
licences are going to be the sticking point in cutting costs
because business cannot quickly find alternative suppliers. "It is
difficult to change a major platform. In the short term, there is
not much you can do."
However, a prolonged refusal by the major software suppliers to
reduce licensing costs would result in a move towards
open source software and
software as a service, for these firms, he says.
Meanwhile, Tif is working with EuroCIO, the network of European
CIOs, to form a joint strategy on licensing. The European user
group is already in discussion with Microsoft and SAP around
licensing.
Campbell says that group action on licensing already proved
effective when Microsoft introduced changes to its licensing terms
in 2002. "As individuals it is difficult [to get suppliers to
change], but as a group, at a European level, one can negotiate
with them," Campbell says.
The other side of the coin is that users have to be careful not
to push their key suppliers too far, says Gartner's Raskino.
Pushing smaller niche software suppliers to accept lower licensing
terms could drive them into receivership, he says. Most users know
how their suppliers are doing because of due diligence, but they
can still get caught out.
"You do not always know how much debt suppliers are in," he
says. This happened with telecoms supplier Vanco in May last year,
he says. "It was quite without warning; we are going to see more of
that."
For the current calendar year, Ipsos' Booth believes most IT
department have made the changes to cope with the recession. "The
challenge is going to be in the future. I think if we are still in
a similar situation in a year's time, then it will be different and
we will see a new order."
This could involve a permanent shift to lower business costs and
lower IT spending, he says.
Next in this series on IT in the recession, Computer
Weekly will look at how IT departments can help their business
units drive down costs while doing more.
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Photo by
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