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Automotive industry outlook: Leading edge or bleeding edge?

Kevin Prouty
Wednesday 01 August 2001 01:58
The US automotive industry has paid dearly for leading the charge towards OEM e-business, while European and Japanese firms have been able learn from their mistakes. But circumspection is unlikely to pay dividends in the long-term, says Kevin Prouty of AMR Research

Numerous announcements flood the wires each week about some software vendor winning a deal at an Automotive Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM). Each one of these deals claims to be changing the way OEMs operate. In most cases, it only changes the way the software company operates.

My favourite saying is that the two best days in a software vendor's life are the day he gets his first OEM contract and the day the company is finally kicked out of the OEM.

The most interesting aspect of OEM e-business is how regional differences are quite clear in attitudes towards e-business. Using e-business spending per vehicle produced, while not perfect, gives a good relative measure by region: North America at $625 per vehicle, Japan at $220 per vehicle, and Europe at $300 per vehicle.

The numbers seem to reinforce the belief that American companies are much more willing to use IT and e-business to solve problems. Japanese companies tend to use IT only where absolutely necessary. European companies fall somewhere in between jumping on the e-business bandwagon and being IT minimalists.

While the numbers seem to reinforce these beliefs, AMR Research believes that it is much more complicated than that. A pilot precedes any major systems purchase by a North American OEM. These pilots generally are lengthy and chew up resources. Pilots are also conducted in a fragmented manner. North American OEMs are in many ways piloting themselves to death. Software vendors are becoming increasingly wary of becoming involved in pilots where the project lacks executive visibility or a clear end vision. On the other hand, relationships like the ones Ford has with Synquest, e-Steel, and WhereNet would never have made it to funding without someone at Ford willing to take a chance on the pilots.

In contrast, European OEMs rarely pilot large projects. While riskier, this approach speeds introduction of proven technology and usually guarantees executive approval and commitment. This is why established vendors like SAP, EDS, and IBM wrap up big deals in European OEMs.

European companies are buying into a relationship based on history. The downside is that this approach tends to keep European OEMs from adopting technology that is not proven. They have to wait until SAP folds the new technology into its product.

Japanese OEMs continue to focus on the process; they use technology only after a process is made as efficient as possible. These companies also don't use any technology that doesn't have a proven track record. Japanese OEMs have large research organisations in the United States that monitor what North American OEMs are doing and learning from the North American OEMs' mistakes. This keeps the number of pilots low, resulting in lower IT spending per vehicle.

But these are generalisations and as companies become increasingly global they lose their regional identity and are forced to adapt to new ways of doing business. Still, the companies that have the solid business processes in place and can then utilise technology to become more profitable will be valued appropriately. In the end, the foundation business process is important, but ignoring technology can be just as risky as being on the bleeding edge.