WiMAX? LTE? The future of mobile broadband beat goes on

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Finding these days a head of communications or of IT that has made a decision as to which future mobile broadband standard to use is as hard as to find a juggler with friends.  

Okay, maybe not quite that hard.

But not important it would seem WiMAX and LTE camps who, ignoring the small thing that is the current recession and the not-so-universal coverage of the existing and rather cheaper to roll out wireless broadband services available, have spent the last few post-Mobile World Congress weeks slugging it out like Ali and Foreman in the Rumble in the Jungle or Nokia and Qualcomm in the courts last year (before the sprit of Barca made them kiss and make up).

Analysts are also weighing in with ABI Research concluding that any reader who believed all the recent headlines--that is most of that generated from MWC--would 'feel confident that the WiMAX market is being crushed by LTE'. 'But that's not quite the whole story,' ABI Research principal analyst Philip Solis added before grabbing an early lead in the prize for most 'creative' use of statistics 2009 by predicting that the WiMAX Subscriber Revenue Will Grow by 4,500+% in 2009. Yes, 4.5 thousand percent.  

Solaris's deft use of the calculator was though quickly rumbled by an-eagle eyed journalist in the land of diplomatic-incident-inducing-Obama-gifts, but actually  only needing to use one of the eyes, the other apparently more focused on cheese, crackers and jugglers (them again...).  

The following clarification was extracted from the spinning numbers man. "It's huge growth from a number that's small to a number that's still relatively small compared to the 2G and 3G market. It has to start somewhere, and after delays and going through teething pains, the market is becoming more and more real, even while much of the press out there tends to focus on the negative aspects," he confessed.

But he does have a point in terms of the tone of the press. Mea culpa and one can only offer this posting as an act of contrition.

 What does this mean in the real world for real IT professionals? Well the bottom line is that WiMAX, despite its bad press, is actually being rolled out across the US and in the Middle East whilst LTE remains in test at best. And all the players with both technologies face a grim 2009 in any case.

 Still there have been a lot of promises regarding LTE and Verizon Wireless announced at MWC (yes, that as well again) and the Global mobile Suppliers Association (GSA) claiming that 26 operators had committed to LTE with up to 10 LTE networks expected to launch with commercial services in 2010.

 So back at you WiMAX. But in this business hype does seem to count for more than reality. Today, the PR machine behind a  forthcoming conference dedicated to LTE invited us to get one step closer to the LTE elite. Elite? For something that may not exist until late next year at best?

 That's the comms industry.  

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