The future of IT (and gadgets in the skin) - the next 100 years
Ian Pearson , a graduate in theoretical physics, who worked for BT as a "futurologist", gave a well-received talk on gadgets and technologies of the future to hundreds of IT, security and finance delegates on the Aurora cruise ship recently.
He spoke of IT security threats from smart bacteria, gadgets which are installed in the skin, soaring tax rates which precipitate the emigration of graduates to low-tax economies, oil at $30 a barrel, and the reversal of globalization.
And he doesn't take himself too seriously. He told delegates to the City IT, IT Security and Finance Directors' Forum on board the Aurora:
"I study the future but I don't try to predict it with 100% accuracy. I am not like Mystic Meg. I am an engineer. I keep abreast with what's happening in engineering. I know what Sony, Nokia or BT will be bringing out in two to three years time.
"I look at the engineering basis for what happening and extrapolate from that, and try to figure out what gadgets you'll have in your pockets, briefcases and desktop in 10-15 years. And how you'll use technology to knock socks off the competition.
"Once you figure out how people will use technologies in their businesses and everyday lives, you get a pretty good view of what the future holds. Studying technology, you can get 85% accuracy over 10 years. I hope that sounds impressive. As a reality check 85% accuracy means that 15% of the following presentation is complete and utter crap."
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